The impact of climate change is likely to fall disproportionately on cities of the global south and as a result could undermine development efforts in these regions and exacerbate poverty. Durban, as a city of the Global South is projected to experience a number of impacts from climate change including an increase in annual average temperatures, an increase in aggregated rainfall associated with high levels of seasonal variability, sea-level rise, and an increase in frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Risks to the city as a result of these changes include increased stress on the city’s water resources affecting availability; potential damage and loss of infrastructure which could directly affect the city’s economy and development pathway. Impacts on agriculture and food security, and health related impacts resulting in increased incidences of malnutrition, heat related mortalities and vector borne (e.g. malaria) and waterborne (e.g. cholera) diseases. These impacts are likely to be compounded directly or indirectly by non-climate change-related risks, such as population growth rate, socio-economic inequality and poorly planned settlements with the urban poor likely to be most at risk.
Seacow Lake Settlement  
During the 2018/19 financial year, as part of efforts to develop the Durban Climate Action Plan, the City undertook a risk and vulnerability analysis. The results of this analysis can be found in an interactive tool on the City’s Corporate GIS website here.